MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:36:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Derby logo

MK Dons
1 - 3
Derby

Barry (41')
Harvie (45+1'), Lewington (46'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (43'), Collins (53'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Mendez-Laing (39'), Rooney (67'), Wildsmith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Derby (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Derby County

 Neither side are in great form coming into this clash, so we are expecting a closely-fought contest at Stadium MK. Derby know that a win could take them inside the playoff places and they will rightly be favourites here, but it would be foolish to underestimate their opponents despite their league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawDerby County
42.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 30.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.32%
    Derby County 30.78%
    Draw 26.89%
MK DonsDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Derby

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-1
MK Dons

Johnson (39'), Hendrick (72')
Forster-Caskey (82')
Maynard (45'), Carruthers (46')
Sep 26, 2015 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2000 3pm
Derby
4-0
MK Dons
Kinkladze (65'), Christie (71'), Burton (89'), Sturridge (90')
Sep 11, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-2
Derby
Euell (63'), Hartson (62')
Carbonari (14'), Johnson (81')
Jan 9, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Derby
Roberts (83'), Euell (8')
Wanchope (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!