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Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Derby logo

MK Dons
1 - 3
Derby

Barry (41')
Harvie (45+1'), Lewington (46'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (43'), Collins (53'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Mendez-Laing (39'), Rooney (67'), Wildsmith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Derby (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Derby County

 Neither side are in great form coming into this clash, so we are expecting a closely-fought contest at Stadium MK. Derby know that a win could take them inside the playoff places and they will rightly be favourites here, but it would be foolish to underestimate their opponents despite their league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawDerby County
42.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 30.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.32%
    Derby County 30.78%
    Draw 26.89%
MK DonsDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Derby

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-1
MK Dons

Johnson (39'), Hendrick (72')
Forster-Caskey (82')
Maynard (45'), Carruthers (46')
Sep 26, 2015 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2000 3pm
Derby
4-0
MK Dons
Kinkladze (65'), Christie (71'), Burton (89'), Sturridge (90')
Sep 11, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-2
Derby
Euell (63'), Hartson (62')
Carbonari (14'), Johnson (81')
Jan 9, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Derby
Roberts (83'), Euell (8')
Wanchope (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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