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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Northampton Town |
70.09% ( -0.25) | 17.84% ( 0.02) | 12.07% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% ( 0.54) | 39.98% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.66% ( 0.55) | 62.34% ( -0.55) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.76% ( 0.08) | 10.25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.41% ( 0.19) | 33.59% ( -0.18) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.31% ( 0.74) | 43.69% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.14% ( 0.6) | 79.87% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Northampton Town |
2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.41% Total : 70.07% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.27% Total : 12.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 39 |
2 | Wrexham | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 36 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
6 | Reading | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 21 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
21 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 13 |
23 | Burton Albion | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |