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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton Town

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Northampton Town

Back in League One action for the first time in two weeks, Birmingham will be raring to produce a statement performance and regain control at the top of the table. Low on confidence following the FA Cup defeat to Kettering, we are expecting Northampton to cause the hosts little problems in the Second City this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
70.09% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 12.07% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.706 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.538 0.54)39.98% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.553 0.55)62.34% (-0.553 -0.55)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)10.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (0.18600000000001 0.19)33.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.737 0.74)43.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.604 0.6)79.87% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 70.07%
    Northampton Town 12.07%
    Draw 17.84%
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Northampton

Birmingham City
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Northampton Town
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe17123238201839
2Wrexham18114327111637
3Birmingham CityBirmingham16113230151536
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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