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League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton Town

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Northampton Town

Back in League One action for the first time in two weeks, Birmingham will be raring to produce a statement performance and regain control at the top of the table. Low on confidence following the FA Cup defeat to Kettering, we are expecting Northampton to cause the hosts little problems in the Second City this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
70.09% (-0.246 -0.25) 17.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 12.07% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 50.54% (0.706 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.538 0.54)39.98% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.553 0.55)62.34% (-0.553 -0.55)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)10.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41% (0.18600000000001 0.19)33.59% (-0.184 -0.18)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.31% (0.737 0.74)43.69% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.14% (0.604 0.6)79.87% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 70.07%
    Northampton Town 12.07%
    Draw 17.84%
Birmingham CityDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.03% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.079 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
1-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Northampton

Birmingham City
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Northampton Town
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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