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FA Cup
Northampton Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
1 - 2
Kettering

Johnson (28' og.)
Hondermarck (104'), Magloire (116')
FT
(aet)
Miller (66'), Ranger (92')
Johnson (73'), Powell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Northampton Town and Kettering Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Kettering Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Kettering
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

We say: Northampton Town 3-1 Kettering Town

 Before a 10-man defeat at Lincoln on Tuesday, Northampton were enjoying a productive spell of results, so we are expecting the Cobblers to get back to winning ways this weekend. Kettering will be hyped up for only a third-ever competitive clash with neighbours Northampton, but we feel that the Poppies will be outdone by EFL quality at Sixfields. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawKettering Town
69.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 13.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)35.06% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.94% (-0.061 -0.06)57.06% (0.058 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)9.07% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.16% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)30.83% (0.038 0.04)
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)38.92% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)75.65% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 69.58%
    Kettering Town 13.04%
    Draw 17.37%
Northampton TownDrawKettering Town
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 69.58%
1-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-1 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 13.04%

How you voted: Northampton vs Kettering

Northampton Town
88.0%
Draw
4.0%
Kettering Town
8.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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