Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.