We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Stockport County
Stockport have adapted well to life in League One, and while Burton have improved under Hounsell, we expect the visitors to take the points this weekend.
With Barry spearheading the attack, the Hatters should have too much firepower for a leaky Burton defence to cope with.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.