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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
26.37% ( 0.32) | 26.95% ( 0.47) | 46.68% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 47.31% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.82% ( -1.52) | 57.18% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( -1.23) | 78.04% ( 1.22) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( -0.56) | 37.34% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( -0.56) | 74.12% ( 0.55) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( -1.04) | 24.49% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( -1.48) | 58.95% ( 1.48) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |