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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Aston Villa U21s (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Burton Albion

 The Trotters may have failed to bolt the back door shut at home in recent weeks, but even without Evatt barking orders from the touchline, Bolton should not face many obstacles en route to a convincing win here. The international break did come at a good time for a defensively suspect Burton side, but Robinson's side will surely return home battered and bruised as Bolton set their sights on the top half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
64.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 19.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11%10.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.03%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.17%
    Burton Albion 16.49%
    Draw 19.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.28%
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Walker (59')
Adeboyejo (5')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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