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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kalinauskas (10'), Orsi (51')
Webster (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

With two fresh faces at the helm, this may turn out to be a different type of game than it would have been two weeks ago. Nevertheless, the respective teams know that they cannot afford to lose this game, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
43.74% (-0.286 -0.29) 26.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 29.63% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.7% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)24.66% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)59.18% (0.208 0.21)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (0.182 0.18)33.2% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (0.202 0.2)69.81% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.74%
    Shrewsbury Town 29.63%
    Draw 26.62%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.63%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Shrewsbury

Burton Albion
50.0%
Draw
6.3%
Shrewsbury Town
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
1-0
Shrewsbury
Lubala (16')
Oshilaja (67'), Crocombe (84')

Kenneh (83')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Shrewsbury
2-1
Burton Albion
Bayliss (3'), Dunkley (45+4')
Benning (83')
Bennett (90+7')
Blackman (4'), Brayford (72'), Oshilaja (76'), Chauke (79')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burton Albion
0-4
Shrewsbury
Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe17123238201839
2Wrexham18114327111637
3Birmingham CityBirmingham16113230151536
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield17102526151132
5Stockport CountyStockport1886429191030
6Reading179352924530
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley187652623327
9Lincoln CityLincoln187562423126
10Mansfield TownMansfield167362120124
11Exeter CityExeter177371617-124
12Blackpool186572631-523
13Charlton AthleticCharlton176471819-122
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough176383230221
16Bristol Rovers186391726-921
17Wigan AthleticWigan175571514120
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
19Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
20Leyton Orient175391720-318
21Northampton TownNorthampton184681925-618
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1734101428-1413
23Burton Albion1725101629-1311
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1732121731-1411


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