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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
43.74% ( -0.29) | 26.63% ( 0.03) | 29.63% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.68% ( -0.01) | 54.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.29% ( -0.01) | 75.7% ( 0.01) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.15) | 24.66% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( -0.21) | 59.18% ( 0.21) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.8% ( 0.18) | 33.2% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.19% ( 0.2) | 69.81% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 39 |
2 | Wrexham | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 36 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 30 |
6 | Reading | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 21 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
19 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
21 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 13 |
23 | Burton Albion | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 11 |
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