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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
49.31% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.18) | 25.02% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.63% ( 0.77) | 53.37% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.1% ( 0.65) | 74.91% ( -0.64) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( 0.36) | 21.67% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.2% ( 0.55) | 54.81% ( -0.54) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( 0.5) | 36.41% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( 0.5) | 73.2% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |