We said: Barnsley 2-1 Charlton Athletic
Barnsley have been far more impressive on their travels of late, something which will not be lost on a Charlton side who are used to claiming draws. That said, we have to back Duff's side to prevail, potentially by the odd goal in three in what should prove to be a competitive contest at Oakwell.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.