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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Ipswich Town |
30.38% ( -0.05) | 25.61% ( -0.01) | 44% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.88% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.02) | 49.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( 0.02) | 71.89% ( -0.03) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% ( -0.02) | 30.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% ( -0.02) | 66.58% ( 0.02) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( 0.04) | 22.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( 0.06) | 56.22% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |