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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.29% ( -0) | 25.5% ( 0) | 31.21% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.91% ( -0.02) | 49.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( -0.02) | 71.16% ( 0.02) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( -0.01) | 22.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% ( -0.02) | 56.21% ( 0.01) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% ( -0.01) | 29.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( -0.01) | 65.4% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |