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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
48.9% ( 0) | 24.74% ( 0) | 26.36% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% ( -0) | 48.58% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.3% ( -0) | 70.7% ( 0) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.1% ( 0) | 19.9% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.97% ( 0) | 52.03% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% ( -0) | 32.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.74% ( -0) | 69.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |