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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Portsmouth |
41.23% ( 0.09) | 26.69% ( 0.03) | 32.08% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% ( -0.16) | 53.71% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( -0.13) | 75.2% ( 0.14) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% ( -0.02) | 25.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% ( -0.03) | 60.59% ( 0.03) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0.16) | 31.15% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( -0.19) | 67.48% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |