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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
46.79% ( -1.34) | 25.55% ( 0.87) | 27.66% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( -2.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% ( -3.31) | 51.08% ( 3.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.07% ( -2.98) | 72.93% ( 2.98) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% ( -1.93) | 21.83% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% ( -3.03) | 55.05% ( 3.03) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( -1.37) | 33% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( -1.55) | 69.59% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.91) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |