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Championship header 2

League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby


Robertson (12'), Bishop (71')
FT

Sibley (38'), Cashin (63'), Thompson (73'), Dobbin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County

 Portsmouth have drawn their last four home league games, and we think that they may have to settle for another point when they face a Derby side who have only lost one of their previous five away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
44.05% (-0.768 -0.77) 26.73% (0.178 0.18) 29.22% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.407 -0.41)54.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.337 -0.34)76.19% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.557 -0.56)24.77% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.784 -0.78)59.33% (0.786 0.79)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)33.81% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.255 0.26)70.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 44.04%
    Derby County 29.22%
    Draw 26.73%
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
33.6%
Draw
27.5%
Derby County
38.9%
131
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Varney (74')
Kitson (42'), Varney (55'), Pearce (65')
Buxton (41'), Davies (78' pen.)
Davies (65')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Ward (33'), Bryson (3'), Maguire (14')
Shackell (9')
Pearce (79')
Varney (86')
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Derby
Nugent (90')
Hogg (52'), De Laet (85')
Davies (34')
Davies (75'), Cywka (78')
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Derby
2-0
Portsmouth
Savage (23' pen.), Green (58')
Leacock (45')

Mokoena (7'), Mullins (89')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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