League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 2Wigan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Derby County 2-1 Wigan Athletic
Derby come into this match in better form than their opponents, and we are expecting them to start the campaign strongly here to match their promotion ambitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
47.34% ( -2.64) | 26.49% ( 0.36) | 26.17% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.29) | 55.62% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.24) | 76.78% ( -0.24) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -1.07) | 23.5% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.47% ( -1.58) | 57.53% ( 1.58) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( 2.19) | 36.65% ( -2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.57% ( 2.14) | 73.44% ( -2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 47.34%
Wigan Athletic 26.17%
Draw 26.49%
| Derby County | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.7)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.34% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.46)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.22)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.17% |
How you voted: Derby vs Wigan
Derby County
68.8%Draw
18.8%Wigan Athletic
12.5%16
