League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth1 - 0Exeter
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-4 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Exeter City |
49.6% ( -0.53) | 24.98% ( 0.14) | 25.4% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
