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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Oxford United |
52.77% (![]() | 24.49% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% (![]() | 50.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.42% (![]() | 72.58% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% (![]() | 19.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.17% (![]() | 50.82% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.01% (![]() | 36.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.22% (![]() | 73.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 11.71% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.77% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |