League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Sheff Weds1 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County
Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
50.6% ( 0.42) | 25.52% ( -0.17) | 23.88% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.43) | 53.67% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.36) | 75.16% ( -0.36) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( 0.36) | 21.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.86% ( 0.55) | 54.13% ( -0.55) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( -0) | 37.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
Derby County 23.88%
Draw 25.52%
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.88% |
How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%Draw
9.1%Derby County
0.0%11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
Form Guide
