MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:26:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One
Sheffield Wednesday logo
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Derby logo

Sheff Weds
1 - 0
Derby

Smith (43' pen.)
Brown (61'), Palmer (74'), Johnson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (43'), Smith (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Derby County

 Derby County certainly have more to fight for than their hosts on the final day, but in a tough trip to Hillsborough, we do not anticipate them taking all three points and instead predict a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
50.6% (0.424 0.42) 25.52% (-0.168 -0.17) 23.88% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.42599999999999 0.43)53.67% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.357 0.36)75.16% (-0.358 -0.36)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (0.355 0.36)21.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.54799999999999 0.55)54.13% (-0.548 -0.55)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.62%74.38%
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 50.6%
    Derby County 23.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Derby

Sheffield Wednesday
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Derby County
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Derby
0-0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91
> League One Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!