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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
Cambridge United

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
50.3% (0.879 0.88) 25.05% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.364 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.753 0.75)51.17% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.656 0.66)73.01% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.67400000000001 0.67)20.35% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (1.06 1.06)52.75% (-1.062 -1.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.52% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)72.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 50.3%
    Cambridge United 24.65%
    Draw 25.04%
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cambridge

Forest Green Rovers
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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