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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Cambridge
0 - 1
Accrington


Williams (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodgers (45+2')
Perritt (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Accrington Stanley

We are not expecting this to be an open and entertaining affair given the fact that both sides have only found the net 18 times this season. One goal could decide the contest, and with Cambridge in slightly better form, we fancy the home side to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
33.31% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 26.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 39.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.7% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)54.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)30.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.96% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)26.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.14%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 33.31%
    Accrington Stanley 39.73%
    Draw 26.95%
Cambridge UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Accrington

Cambridge United
58.6%
Draw
27.6%
Accrington Stanley
13.8%
58
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-1
Cambridge
Butcher (14'), Pell (30')
Pell (20'), Pritchard (34'), Rodgers (81')
Ironside (79')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Cambridge
Jackson (57')
Hughes (39'), Johnson (90')

Ikpeazu (38'), Deegan (65'), O'Neil (76')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
0-0
Accrington

Ikpeazu (90'), Halliday (90')

Kee (24'), Johnson (61'), Thorniley (69'), Conneely (81')
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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