Forest Green2 - 1Alvechurch
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Alvechurch
When up against it, Alvechurch are a side that has proven in both the FA Cup and the FA Trophy that they can score goals against almost any team. They will undoubtedly give a depleted Forest Green team a challenge at the New Lane this weekend. However, the vast disparity between these two teams - including the star quality of Green's Wickham, Myles Peart-Harris and McGeouch - should see the home side win comfortably enough. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Alvechurch had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for an Alvechurch win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Alvechurch |
69.53% ( -0.02) | 17.48% ( 0) | 12.99% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
