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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
23.89% ( -0.26) | 23.36% ( -0.03) | 52.75% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% ( -0.13) | 44.79% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% ( -0.13) | 67.15% ( 0.14) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% ( -0.3) | 32.71% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% ( -0.34) | 69.26% ( 0.34) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.06) | 16.96% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.1) | 47.06% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |