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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Oxford United |
66.03% ( -0) | 20.33% ( -0) | 13.65% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( 0.01) | 47.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% ( 0.01) | 69.51% ( -0.01) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0) | 13.46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% ( 0) | 40.46% ( -0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( 0.02) | 45.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( 0.01) | 81.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Oxford United |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 66.01% | 1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.33% | 0-1 @ 4.82% 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |