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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
67.83% ( -0.12) | 19.16% ( 0.06) | 13% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% ( -0.16) | 43.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% ( -0.16) | 66.08% ( 0.16) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.13% ( -0.08) | 11.87% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.83% ( -0.17) | 37.17% ( 0.17) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.44% ( -0.01) | 44.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% ( -0.01) | 80.57% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 67.83% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.16% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |