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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
2 - 2
Ipswich

Pack (4'), Bishop (60')
Pack (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgess (11'), Chaplin (87')
Burgess (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Ipswich Town

 While Pompey are winless in seven league games, Ipswich have only lost one of their last nine matches in League One, and with momentum in their favour, we think that the visitors will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
31.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 43.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.079000000000001 0.08)48.56% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)70.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)28.95% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.078000000000003 0.08)64.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.024999999999991 0.02)22.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 31.49%
    Ipswich Town 43.11%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Ipswich

Portsmouth
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Ipswich
0-2
Portsmouth

Morsy (45+3')
Scarlett (43'), Swanson (90+4')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Portsmouth
Harness (25'), Ladapo (74'), Burns (80')
Bishop (32' pen., 79')
Scarlett (10')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Portsmouth

Thompson (77'), Donacien (82')

Thompson (30'), Curtis (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-4
Ipswich

Curtis (13'), Harness (18')
Bonne (42'), Chaplin (50'), Aluko (58'), Burns (75')
Edmundson (28'), Morsy (72')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Ipswich
Naylor (41'), Harness (72')
Whatmough (18'), Curtis (52'), Cannon (56'), Jacobs (82')
Norwood (32')
Edwards (66'), Chambers (66'), Bishop (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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