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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
2 - 2
Ipswich

Pack (4'), Bishop (60')
Pack (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgess (11'), Chaplin (87')
Burgess (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Ipswich Town

 While Pompey are winless in seven league games, Ipswich have only lost one of their last nine matches in League One, and with momentum in their favour, we think that the visitors will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
31.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.4% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 43.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.079000000000001 0.08)48.56% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)70.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)28.95% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.078000000000003 0.08)64.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.024999999999991 0.02)22.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)56% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 31.49%
    Ipswich Town 43.11%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.49%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.11%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Ipswich

Portsmouth
25.0%
Draw
17.9%
Ipswich Town
57.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Ipswich
0-2
Portsmouth

Morsy (45+3')
Scarlett (43'), Swanson (90+4')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
3-2
Portsmouth
Harness (25'), Ladapo (74'), Burns (80')
Bishop (32' pen., 79')
Scarlett (10')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Portsmouth

Thompson (77'), Donacien (82')

Thompson (30'), Curtis (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
0-4
Ipswich

Curtis (13'), Harness (18')
Bonne (42'), Chaplin (50'), Aluko (58'), Burns (75')
Edmundson (28'), Morsy (72')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Ipswich
Naylor (41'), Harness (72')
Whatmough (18'), Curtis (52'), Cannon (56'), Jacobs (82')
Norwood (32')
Edwards (66'), Chambers (66'), Bishop (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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