EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth3 - 3AFC Wimbledon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon will travel to Home Park with plenty of confidence and optimism that they can cause an upset, but we see the Pilgrims being too strong and back them to advance to the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
60% ( 0.85) | 22.11% ( -0.17) | 17.89% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( -0.28) | 47% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -0.27) | 69.24% ( 0.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% ( 0.19) | 15.25% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.08% ( 0.34) | 43.92% ( -0.34) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.03% ( -0.94) | 39.97% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.38% ( -0.87) | 76.63% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle 59.99%
AFC Wimbledon 17.89%
Draw 22.11%
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.89% |
How you voted: Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth Argyle
72.5%Draw
17.5%AFC Wimbledon
10.0%40
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Plymouth
Wordsworth (32'), Pinnock (75')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-23 00:20:43
1.20am
Buccaneers
@
Cowboys
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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