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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
59.25% (![]() | 21.7% (![]() | 19.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.57% (![]() | 43.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% (![]() | 65.82% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% (![]() | 14.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.89% (![]() | 42.11% (![]() |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.43% (![]() | 36.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.64% (![]() | 73.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 19.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |