Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Derby County 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Derby know that they will be presented with a tough test on Saturday, but having won three consecutive home league games without conceding, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim maximum points against Bristol Rovers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
59.25% ( -0) | 21.7% ( -0) | 19.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.57% ( 0.01) | 43.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( 0.02) | 65.82% ( -0.01) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 0) | 14.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.01) | 42.11% ( -0.01) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( 0.02) | 36.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.64% ( 0.02) | 73.36% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 19.05% |
