Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
30.62% ( 0.81) | 26.5% ( 0.31) | 42.89% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( -0.9) | 53.42% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( -0.77) | 74.95% ( 0.78) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( 0.12) | 32.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.14) | 68.48% ( -0.13) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( -0.95) | 24.69% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.78% ( -1.35) | 59.23% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 30.62%
Derby County 42.88%
Draw 26.49%
| Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.88% |
How you voted: Port Vale vs Derby
Port Vale
9.1%Draw
9.1%Derby County
81.8%11
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
