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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
22.19% ( 0.02) | 23.5% ( -0) | 54.31% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% ( 0.04) | 47.18% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.59% ( 0.03) | 69.41% ( -0.03) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( 0.04) | 35.55% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.68% ( 0.04) | 72.32% ( -0.04) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.73% ( 0.01) | 17.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.4% ( 0.01) | 47.6% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.19% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |