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League One
Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield


Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

 Crawley did not make a great start to life without their previous manager Lindsey, and they were also very wasteful in front of goal in their defeat against Bolton. Meanwhile for Mansfield, Clough has undoubtedly got his side believing they can compete at this level, and with the plethora of attacking options at his disposal, we think the Stags could take all three points on Tuesday and win their fourth league game in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
22.12% (-4.339 -4.34) 21.96% (-0.229 -0.23) 55.92% (4.567 4.57)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-4.377 -4.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-3.484 -3.48)40.41% (3.483 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.679 -3.68)62.78% (3.678 3.68)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-5.346 -5.35)31.83% (5.345 5.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-6.597 -6.6)68.27% (6.596 6.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.274 0.27)14.34% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.529 0.53)42.19% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 22.12%
    Mansfield Town 55.92%
    Draw 21.95%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.677 -0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.694 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.344 0.34)
0-1 @ 8.87% (1.422 1.42)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.45 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.984 0.98)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.499 0.5)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

How you voted: Crawley vs Mansfield

Crawley Town
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Mansfield Town
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Mansfield
1-4
Crawley
Boateng (80')
Gordon (4'), Tsaroulla (24'), Orsi (55'), Lolas (56')
Wright (45+1'), Gordon (64'), Kelley (81')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crawley
1-3
Mansfield
Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')
Williams (68')
Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Mansfield
4-1
Crawley
Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Ogungbo (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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