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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
22.12% ( -4.34) | 21.96% ( -0.23) | 55.92% ( 4.57) |
Both teams to score 58.39% ( -4.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% ( -3.48) | 40.41% ( 3.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.22% ( -3.68) | 62.78% ( 3.68) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% ( -5.35) | 31.83% ( 5.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% ( -6.6) | 68.27% ( 6.6) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( 0.27) | 14.34% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.8% ( 0.53) | 42.19% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.76) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.12% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.68) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.34) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 1.42) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1.45) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.4) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.5) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
17 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |