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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
56.9% ( 0) | 23.38% ( -0) | 19.71% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% | 49.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( -0) | 71.68% ( 0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( 0) | 17.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.46% ( 0) | 47.54% ( -0) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.53% ( -0) | 39.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( -0) | 76.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.9% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |