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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Murphy (45+3'), Leigh (88')
Brown (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferry (80')
Sercombe (20'), Davies (61'), Harrop (73'), (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-2 Cheltenham Town

Oxford will view Saturday's contest as a chance to return to winning ways against the relegation-threatened Robins, but after drawing three of their last five home matches, we think that they will be held to a point by a Cheltenham side that has seen two of their previous four games finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
56.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.68% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.9%
    Cheltenham Town 19.71%
    Draw 23.37%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.9%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Cheltenham Town
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Cheltenham
2-0
Oxford Utd
Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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