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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Northampton Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Northampton

Murphy (6'), Goodwin (81')
Rodrigues (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hondermarck (35'), Springett (90+2')
Hondermarck (74'), Simpson (78'), Pinnock (82'), Hoskins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Northampton Town

Oxford have rediscovered their form from earlier in the season under Buckingham, and they always carry a significant threat in attack. Northampton are a more solid outfit and will provide stubborn resistance. However, we expect Oxford's quality to shine through in the end, even if they may have to be patient to find a winner. Doing so would be a big step towards finishing inside the top six, while making a serious dent in their opponents' aspirations of achieving similar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.17% (-0.105 -0.1) 21.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.05% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)45.37% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.65% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.105 -0.11)42.79% (0.104 0.1)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.038 0.04)75.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.16%
    Northampton Town 18.05%
    Draw 21.78%
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Northampton

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Northampton Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Northampton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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