League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Northampton

Murphy (6'), Goodwin (81')
Rodrigues (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hondermarck (35'), Springett (90+2')
Hondermarck (74'), Simpson (78'), Pinnock (82'), Hoskins (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Northampton Town

Oxford have rediscovered their form from earlier in the season under Buckingham, and they always carry a significant threat in attack. Northampton are a more solid outfit and will provide stubborn resistance. However, we expect Oxford's quality to shine through in the end, even if they may have to be patient to find a winner. Doing so would be a big step towards finishing inside the top six, while making a serious dent in their opponents' aspirations of achieving similar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Northampton Town
60.17% ( -0.1)	21.78% ( 0.04)	18.05% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 52.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.06)

45.37% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.29% (

-0.06)

67.7% (

0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.35% (

-0.05)

14.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.21% (

-0.11)

42.79% (

0.1)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17% (

0.04)

38.83% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

0.04)

75.56% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 60.16%

Northampton Town 18.05%

Draw 21.78%

Oxford United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.16%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.78%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.05%