Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.