We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Cheltenham Town
Cheltenham have shown signs of promise in their last two home games, but their form on the road has proven to be a different story.
Having lost six of their last seven away league matches, we think that the Robins will be edged out by a Peterborough side who have won three of their previous five home games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.