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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Peterborough
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Clarke-Harris (17'), Kent (87')
Kyprianou (67'), Norris (90+2'), Norburn (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flanagan (21')
Pyke (38'), Flanagan (62'), Saydee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Derby 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

 While the two sides are in vastly different runs of form, we do not see Shrewsbury taking all three points away from home and instead predict them forcing a commendable draw against a Peterborough team who possess more quality but are far from their best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
55.24% (0.581 0.58) 24.35% (-0.255 -0.25) 20.41% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.276 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.607 0.61)52.64% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (0.519 0.52)74.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.45800000000001 0.46)18.96% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.75700000000001 0.76)50.48% (-0.759 -0.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.24%
    Shrewsbury Town 20.41%
    Draw 24.35%
Peterborough UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.41%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Shrewsbury

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Shrewsbury Town
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Shrewsbury
3-1
Peterborough
Bayliss (2'), Pennington (35'), Leahy (45+7' pen.)
Street (27')
Poku (13')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-0
Peterborough
Chapman (51', 86')
Love (42')

Hamilton (24'), Thompson (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Peterborough
5-1
Shrewsbury
Clarke-Harris (16' pen.), Dembele (42', 69', 80'), Taylor (88')
Brown (50'), Szmodics (84')
Daniels (18')
Burgoyne (16'), Norburn (58'), Ebanks-Landell (77')
Vela (45+2')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Peterborough
P-P
Shrewsbury
Nov 5, 2019 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Peterborough
Ebanks-Landell (45')
Edwards (54'), Thompson (77'), Murphy (93')

Toney (42'), Bennett (45'), Butler (88')
rhs 2.0
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1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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