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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
35.39% ( 0.05) | 27.27% ( -0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.52% ( 0.04) | 55.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.34% ( 0.03) | 76.66% ( -0.04) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( 0.05) | 29.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.06) | 65.96% ( -0.07) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( -0.01) | 64.49% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |