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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
35.39% ( 0.05) | 27.27% ( -0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.52% ( 0.04) | 55.48% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.34% ( 0.03) | 76.66% ( -0.04) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( 0.05) | 29.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.06) | 65.96% ( -0.07) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.32% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.5% ( -0.01) | 64.49% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
3 | Wrexham | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 48 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Reading | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 40 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Blackpool | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 25 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |