League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Derby County
This has all of the makings of a very entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday afternoon. Both sides are in need of the three points, but the desire not to lose could become a feature of the match, particularly in the second half, so we are backing a score draw here.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.52% . A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.34%) . The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result Peterborough United Draw Derby County 38.52% 25.65% 35.82%
Both teams to score 55.38%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Peterborough United 38.52%
Derby County 35.82%
Draw 25.65%
Peterborough United Draw Derby County 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.52% 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.82%
How you voted: Peterborough vs Derby
Peterborough United
Draw
Derby County
125
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 09:02:55
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