League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter2 - 1Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City
Lincoln's unbeaten run suggests they are hard to beat, so we think they will have enough quality to earn a point on Saturday. There is not a lot to split the two teams, and the last two meetings between the sides have also resulted in a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Lincoln City |
43.11% ( -0) | 27.01% ( -0) | 29.88% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
