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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
0 - 3
Peterborough


Kennedy (0'), Mandroiu (22'), O'Connor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Ferguson (23'), Burrows (52'), Norburn (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-3 Peterborough United

 It is crunch time for Peterborough in their push for the playoff places, and we back them to secure a victory on Saturday, given that Lincoln have very little to play for at this point. The Posh have been in fine form in front of goal in recent weeks, and it will be no surprise if Clarke-Harris is again on the scoresheet, in a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
29.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.29%43.04% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.73% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.023 -0.02)71.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 29.67%
    Peterborough United 43.04%
    Draw 27.28%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Peterborough United
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Peterborough
3-3
Lincoln
Dembele (65'), Clarke-Harris (75', 90' pen.)
Taylor (55'), Clarke-Harris (90')
Scully (31', 53'), Grant (45' pen.)
Bridcutt (56'), Montsma (90'), McGrandles (90'), Grant (90')
Jan 9, 2021 12.30pm
Lincoln
1-1
Peterborough
Scully (49')
Jackson (16'), Bridcutt (21'), Eyoma (80'), Jones (90+1')
Eyoma (10' og.)
Thompson (23'), Brown (63'), Kent (89')
Thompson (67')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Peterborough
Walker (67'), Grant (90')
Hesketh (61'), Morrell (71'), Bolger (80'), Payne (95')
Toney (28')
Mason (37'), Boyd (45'), Woodyard (55'), Butler (96')
Dembele (71')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Reed (82'), Toney (88')
Mason (62'), Reed (72')
Reed (90')

O'Connor (45'), Pett (74'), Shackell (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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