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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
LNER Stadium
Peterborough United

Lincoln
0 - 3
Peterborough


Kennedy (0'), Mandroiu (22'), O'Connor (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke-Harris (28'), Taylor (67'), Ward (83')
Ferguson (23'), Burrows (52'), Norburn (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-5 Peterborough
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-3 Peterborough United

 It is crunch time for Peterborough in their push for the playoff places, and we back them to secure a victory on Saturday, given that Lincoln have very little to play for at this point. The Posh have been in fine form in front of goal in recent weeks, and it will be no surprise if Clarke-Harris is again on the scoresheet, in a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
29.67% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 27.29%43.04% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)77.73% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.48% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.023 -0.02)71.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 29.67%
    Peterborough United 43.04%
    Draw 27.28%
Lincoln CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.86%
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Peterborough

Lincoln City
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Peterborough United
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
4-0
Lincoln
Marriott (21', 50'), Clarke-Harris (29' pen., 43')
Kent (35')

O'Connor (28'), Garrick (40')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Peterborough
3-3
Lincoln
Dembele (65'), Clarke-Harris (75', 90' pen.)
Taylor (55'), Clarke-Harris (90')
Scully (31', 53'), Grant (45' pen.)
Bridcutt (56'), Montsma (90'), McGrandles (90'), Grant (90')
Jan 9, 2021 12.30pm
Lincoln
1-1
Peterborough
Scully (49')
Jackson (16'), Bridcutt (21'), Eyoma (80'), Jones (90+1')
Eyoma (10' og.)
Thompson (23'), Brown (63'), Kent (89')
Thompson (67')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Lincoln
2-1
Peterborough
Walker (67'), Grant (90')
Hesketh (61'), Morrell (71'), Bolger (80'), Payne (95')
Toney (28')
Mason (37'), Boyd (45'), Woodyard (55'), Butler (96')
Dembele (71')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Peterborough
2-0
Lincoln
Reed (82'), Toney (88')
Mason (62'), Reed (72')
Reed (90')

O'Connor (45'), Pett (74'), Shackell (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128
> League One Full Table


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