We said: Peterborough United 1-0 Exeter City
Peterborough's strong home record in this fixture suggests they may edge this contest, especially with their new defensive solidity, and when this is considered alongside Exeter's away struggles, we are looking at a likely home win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.