Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.