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League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Stevenage

Derby
1 - 0
Stevenage

Sibley (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forster-Caskey (62'), Ashby-Hammond (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-0 Stevenage

 Derby flexed their attacking power in the win at Exeter on Tuesday night, and we believe that it could be a similar tale at Pride Park this weekend. Stevenage's confidence would have taken a massive hit after wasting a two-goal lead last time out, with Pride Park not a likely place for the Boro to get back to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Stevenage has a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Stevenage win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawStevenage
55.95% (0.425 0.42) 23.68% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 20.38% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 50.21% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)50.02% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.026 -0.03)72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.146 0.15)17.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (0.249 0.25)48.37% (-0.247 -0.25)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (-0.365 -0.37)38.98% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.344 -0.34)75.7% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 55.94%
    Stevenage 20.38%
    Draw 23.67%
Derby CountyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 55.94%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Stevenage

Derby County
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Stevenage
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
3-1
Derby
Roberts (32'), MacDonald (45+2'), Hemmings (84')
Reid (59'), Piergianni (71')
Mendez-Laing (38')
Cashin (11'), Forsyth (30')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101
> League One Full Table


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