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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Cambridge United

Stevenage
1 - 0
Cambridge

Roberts (35')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cousins (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Cambridge United

Stevenage will be feeling a whole lot better following the win over Wycombe on Saturday, and the visit of Cambridge represents a real opportunity for the Boro to burst into the top six. The U's appear to be going nowhere quick under the interim management of Corr, so we are expecting a third-straight loss for United on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawCambridge United
55.62% (0.166 0.17) 23.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.106 0.11)72.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.107 0.11)17.85% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.179 0.18)48.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.038 -0.04)75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.61%
    Cambridge United 20.62%
    Draw 23.75%
StevenageDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Cambridge

Stevenage
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Cambridge United
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
1-2
Stevenage
Kachunga (80')
Roberts (27'), Reid (82')
Thompson (32'), Butler (68'), Reid (83')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
List (40')
Vancooten (13'), Reeves (38')

Masterson (62'), Weir (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cambridge
0-1
Stevenage

Knoyle (71')
Norris (63')
Dec 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
Carter (22')

May (48'), Darling (62')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cambridge
0-4
Stevenage

Knoyle (23'), O'Neil (39'), Lewis (90')
List (36'), Cassidy (59'), Carter (87'), Lakin (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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