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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Cambridge United

Stevenage
1 - 0
Cambridge

Roberts (35')
Forster-Caskey (45'), Reid (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cousins (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-0 Cambridge United

Stevenage will be feeling a whole lot better following the win over Wycombe on Saturday, and the visit of Cambridge represents a real opportunity for the Boro to burst into the top six. The U's appear to be going nowhere quick under the interim management of Corr, so we are expecting a third-straight loss for United on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawCambridge United
55.62% (0.166 0.17) 23.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 20.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.05% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (0.106 0.11)72.03% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.107 0.11)17.85% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.179 0.18)48.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-0.038 -0.04)75.47% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 55.61%
    Cambridge United 20.62%
    Draw 23.75%
StevenageDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Cambridge

Stevenage
85.7%
Draw
5.7%
Cambridge United
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
1-2
Stevenage
Kachunga (80')
Roberts (27'), Reid (82')
Thompson (32'), Butler (68'), Reid (83')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
List (40')
Vancooten (13'), Reeves (38')

Masterson (62'), Weir (90+2')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cambridge
0-1
Stevenage

Knoyle (71')
Norris (63')
Dec 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
1-0
Cambridge
Carter (22')

May (48'), Darling (62')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Cambridge
0-4
Stevenage

Knoyle (23'), O'Neil (39'), Lewis (90')
List (36'), Cassidy (59'), Carter (87'), Lakin (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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