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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
29.2% ( 0) | 24.95% ( 0) | 45.85% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.36% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -0.03) | 47.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.03) | 69.85% ( 0.02) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% ( -0.02) | 30.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% ( -0.02) | 66.21% ( 0.01) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( -0.02) | 20.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( -0.02) | 53.5% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |