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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Port Vale

Cheltenham
0 - 0
Port Vale

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale

The two teams drew 2-2 when they met earlier in the season, and we think that they could play out another draw on Saturday, which may suit both sides following their recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
29.2% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 29.2%
    Port Vale 45.85%
    Draw 24.94%
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Port Vale

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Port Vale
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Cheltenham
Tozer (39' og.)
Montano (89')
Addai (24')
Greaves (33'), Tozer (88'), Clements (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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