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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Barnsley
3 - 1
Accrington

Norwood (5'), Aitchison (8'), Williams (19')
Thomas (23')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Leigh (90+4' pen.)
Hamilton (26'), Coyle (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Accrington Stanley

 Accrington are coming into this encounter in decent form, and they tend to be well-organised and intelligent on the ball away from home. Barnsley have struggled with continuity to this point of 2023, and we expect them to have the bulk of the chances this weekend, but they have not shown much poise in the attacking third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.68% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.91% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)71.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.26% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)75.02% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 55.71%
    Accrington Stanley 20.68%
    Draw 23.59%
BarnsleyDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.68%
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.71%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Accrington

Barnsley
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Barnsley
Leigh (62' pen.)
Norwood (8')
Connell (31')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
Accrington
Cavare (41'), Wood (45' og.)
Pinillos (62')

McConville (26')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Barnsley

Johnson (68'), Brown (84')
Woodrow (36'), Moore (90')
Mowatt (25'), Lindsay (28'), Fryers (34')
Fryers (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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