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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
38.03% ( -0.3) | 26.7% ( 0.06) | 35.26% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( -0.22) | 53.21% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% ( -0.18) | 74.77% ( 0.18) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.27) | 27.19% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.35) | 62.6% ( 0.35) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% ( 0.04) | 28.84% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% ( 0.05) | 64.69% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |