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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Barnsley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley

Moore (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
Kane (69'), Connell (75'), Collins (81'), Martin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley

Putting the ball into the back of the net has not been a problem for Oxford United, but keeping the opposition at bay is not their forte, and a goal-happy Barnsley are sure to take advantage of such frailties. The Tykes' stellar defensive record on the road should also come into play, and even with a couple more injury concerns to work around, we still expect Duff's men to travel back to South Yorkshire with another three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
43.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.85% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.029 -0.03)71.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)29.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.71%
    Barnsley 30.85%
    Draw 25.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
24.7%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Apr 3, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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