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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Barnsley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley

Moore (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
Kane (69'), Connell (75'), Collins (81'), Martin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley

Putting the ball into the back of the net has not been a problem for Oxford United, but keeping the opposition at bay is not their forte, and a goal-happy Barnsley are sure to take advantage of such frailties. The Tykes' stellar defensive record on the road should also come into play, and even with a couple more injury concerns to work around, we still expect Duff's men to travel back to South Yorkshire with another three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
43.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.85% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.029 -0.03)71.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)29.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.71%
    Barnsley 30.85%
    Draw 25.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
24.7%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Apr 3, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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