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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 22
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Accrington Stanley

Port Vale
1 - 1
Accrington

Worrall (57')
Ojo (30'), Smith (34'), A (63'), Benning (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Presley (52' pen.)
Fernandes (73'), McConville (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Although Accrington have struggled in the league this season, they are currently unbeaten in five competitive games, and we think that they will be able to hold Port Vale to a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
48.01% (-2.405 -2.4) 25.37% (0.268 0.27) 26.62% (2.137 2.14)
Both teams to score 52.15% (1.127 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (0.533 0.53)50.99% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.466 0.47)72.85% (-0.465 -0.47)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.804 -0.8)21.25% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-1.265 -1.26)54.16% (1.264 1.26)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.23% (2.089 2.09)33.77% (-2.088 -2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.57% (2.206 2.21)70.43% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 48%
    Accrington Stanley 26.62%
    Draw 25.36%
Port ValeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.63 -0.63)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.213 0.21)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.429 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.374 0.37)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.278 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Accrington

Port Vale
82.4%
Draw
8.8%
Accrington Stanley
8.8%
34
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
5-1
Accrington
Wilson (30', 73', 79'), Cass (85'), Lloyd (90+3')
Gibbons (36'), Jones (83')
Hamilton (85')
Conneely (79')
Bishop (70')
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Port Vale
McConville (52', 72'), Kee (54')
Jackson (61'), Johnson (78')
Pope (3'), Tonge (41')
Kay (65'), Worrall (77')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Accrington
Worrall (22')
Kay (50')
Kee (36', 62')
Rawson (87')
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Port Vale
3-0
Accrington
Purse (54'), Hughes (50', 66')
Duffy (68')

Liddle (49'), Winnard (72')
Bennett (5')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Accrington
2-0
Port Vale
Amond (43' pen.), Gray (90')
Nsiala (58'), Liddle (90')

Neal (43'), Duffy (46'), Morsy (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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