Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Peterborough
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 1-2 Derby County
With home advantage in their favour, Vale will fancy their chances of earning at least a share of the spoils. However, we cannot back against Derby right now, and the Rams should have enough all-round quality to edge a competitive fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
29.29% ( -1.45) | 27.2% ( -0.69) | 43.5% ( 2.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
